A. Novak said:
- We can see that the new U.S. administration is making statements contradictory to the country’s policy from the last 4 years;
- As far as we can see there will be more discussion of climate topics. This could affect U.S. oil production.
- We hope that the changes to the policy of the U.S. administration will not have an impact on the joint actions, which, first of all, are designed to play a positive role for the global economy and energy markets.
The president-elect has prioritized climate action and has threatened a ban on oil and gas drilling on federal land, which caused a vocal reaction from the industry, with the American Petroleum Institute pledging to use “every tool at its disposal” to fight this plan.
Joe Biden has also promised to end fossil fuel and mining subsidies, which would be difficult to do with the current make-up of Congress as well as opposition from within the Democratic Party.
Instituting a drilling ban for federal lands will also face challenges from opponents, but, interestingly enough, some in the oil industry are not that worried: the President cannot ban drilling on private lands, and this is where most of U.S. drilling comes from.
If anything, a Biden presidency should be positive news for OPEC+ on the face of it and with his making climate change a top priority.
However, Biden has already declared Russia the biggest threat for the U.S. and has suggested a rethink of relations with Saudi Arabia, meaning he would be hardly willing to make any moves that would benefit either of the two countries.