According to Haydarshina, in the coming year, with the updated baseline scenario of the average Brent oil price at $81.7, the economy will grow by 4.5 %, taking into account the exhaustion of the effect of the low base of the crisis in 2020.
She said:
- In addition, even under a conservative, unlikely scenario of an average Brent oil price of $60, the Azerbaijani economy will maintain positive growth rates in the coming year
- This will be facilitated by a recovery in domestic demand, an increase in the physical volumes of gas exports due to the launch of the TAP gas pipeline, as well as new non-oil and gas growth drivers
Haydarshina noted:
- Earlier it was reported, the oil & gas sector remains key for the Azerbaijani economy even in the context of active measures to diversify it through the development of non-oil and gas industries
- After falling to 38 % in the crisis year of 2020, amid weak external demand in 2021, the share of the oil & gas sector in the total value added of industries may recover to 41 %
- Despite a slight reduction, thanks to the growth of the non-oil & gas component in the medium term, the share of oil & gas GDP will exceed 35 %
- It is noted that the share of oil & gas exports in its total volume remains close to 90%
Gazprombank is engaged in a large project in Azerbaijan to build factories for the production of polypropylene and high density polyethylene.
The production site is located in the Sumgait Chemical Industrial Park, 30 km from Baku.
The bank has also launched the 2nd project in Azerbaijan - the construction of the SOCAR GPC gas processing and petrochemical complex, where Gazprombank acts as a financial consultant.
