USD 80.5268

-0.16

EUR 93.3684

-1.09

Brent 66.42

-0.27

Natural gas 2.801

-0.01

178

Investors Return to Oil as Safe Haven

As the stockmarket fluctuates, investors seek oil as safe haven

Investors Return to Oil as Safe Haven

Crude oil rose for a second day in New York as investors sought a safe haven on concern that the global credit crisis will deepen, leading more financial institutions to fail.

Oil climbed and gold surged the most in eight years yesterday as Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Morgan Stanley plunged the most ever. Prices also advanced after a U.S. government report yesterday showed that crude oil stockpiles dropped the most since May because of disruptions from Hurricane Ike.

John Kilduff, senior vice president of risk management at MF Global Inc. in New York said. “oil is up, although not nearly as much as gold, because buyers are looking at hard assets, given all the economic turmoil”. He continued, “Energy markets will continue to fight enormous headwinds from the drop in equities.''

Oil for October delivery rose as much as 73 cents, or 0.8 percent, to $97.89 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It was trading at $97.56 a barrel at 7:37 a.m. in Singapore. Oil has declined 34 percent from the record $147.27 a barrel reached on July 11.

Yesterday, oil rose $6.01, or 6.6 percent, to $97.16 a barrel, the biggest one-day gain since June 6. Oil futures tumbled more than $10 a barrel in the first two days of the week on concern financial-market disruptions may weaken the global economy and cut fuel consumption.

“Once again we are seeing a flight to quality in commodities,'' commented Phil Flynn, senior trader at Alaron Trading Corp. in Chicago. ``The energies aren't participating as much as they did in the past. The gains in gold and silver should be much larger because of the threat to energy demand.''
Gold futures for December delivery gained $70, or 9 percent, to settle at $850.50 an ounce on the Comex division of Nymex. It was the biggest percentage gain for a most-active contract since Sept. 28, 1999.

Silver futures for December delivery rose $1.158, or 11 percent, to settle at $11.675 an ounce, the biggest gain for a most-active contract since Dec. 31, 1979.

U.S. crude-oil stockpiles fell 6.33 million barrels to 291.7 million barrels last week, according to the Energy Department. It was the fourth-straight inventory decline. A drop of 3.5 million barrels was forecast, according to the median of responses by 11 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News.
U.S. fuel demand averaged 19.9 million barrels a day during the past four weeks, down 4.4 percent from a year earlier, the department said. Gasoline consumption averaged 9.21 million barrels a day over the period, down 2.6 percent.

“Energy futures are still vulnerable,'' Flynn said. “If people are afraid to loan money, the economy will slow further and energy demand will take a further hit.''

Goldman Sachs cut its three-month forecast for crude oil to $115 a barrel from $149, citing the global credit crisis and demand weakness. Goldman Sachs said oil prices have “overshot to the downside'' and the securities firm remains "bullish'' that they will move higher.

Brent crude oil for November settlement rose $5.62, or 6.3 percent, to settle at $94.84 a barrel on London's ICE Futures Europe exchange. Prices dropped the previous 14 days, the longest stretch since the contract was introduced in 1988.


Author: Jo Amey


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