Karaganov also said Russian oil production, which had been growing rapidly earlier this decade, may decline this year for the first time, falling by around 1 million tons. But he said Russia still had a chance to meet the ministry's previous forecast of flat oil output if new deposits prove to be a quick success.
The government, which usually sets duties based on a monitoring of international prices for Urals crude blend, changed the procedure last month and slashed the previously announced duties to protect oil firms from falling oil prices.
Last week, an association of small and medium-sized oil and gas companies, AssoNeft, urged the government to further cut the export duty because it said oil producers were exporting crude at a loss of $102 per ton in October.
Author: Ksenia Kochneva




